Markets / Caribbean
CBI Launch加勒比海
🇻🇨
St. Vincent & the Grenadines 2026 底前正式開放 CBI 申請？
50%
YES / NO forecaster split
forecasters · YES 0 / NO 0
YES 50%NO 50%
Deadline: 2026-12-31 UTCResolution: medium● Open for forecasts
Market Brief
Why it matters: A new Caribbean CBI program would be a rare supply-side shock in a market moving toward consolidation and price discipline.
Current baseline: 是否有官方 CBI/CIP application intake / official program portal / enacted rules
What moves probability:
- YES 壓力：By 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC, the government, gazette, enacted law, competent authority, or official program portal clearly opens CBI/CIP applications.
- NO 壓力：No official application intake or enacted operational program exists by the deadline.
Resolution source: Government of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: https://www.gov.vc
Resolution Criteria
YES if
- By 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC, the government, gazette, enacted law, competent authority, or official program portal clearly opens CBI/CIP applications.
NO if
- No official application intake or enacted operational program exists by the deadline.
Does not count
- Budget speeches, campaign promises, media reports, draft bills, RFPs, or policy intentions without official applicant intake.
Government of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: https://www.gov.vc
House of Assembly: https://assembly.gov.vc
Ambiguity rule: Official application availability controls. If a law exists but applications are not open, resolve NO unless official guidance confirms intake.
Bond Note
Why it matters: A new Caribbean CBI program would be a rare supply-side shock in a market moving toward consolidation and price discipline.
Key date: 2026-12-31 · market deadline
Baseline: 是否有官方 CBI/CIP application intake / official program portal / enacted rules
BPROL view: This is a launch-readiness signal, not a political-intent signal.
Background
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 已出現 2026 年推出 CBI/CIP 的政策信號。本市場只追蹤官方開放申請，不把媒體報導或政治意向視為已上線。