Markets / Caribbean
CBI Price Floor加勒比海
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St. Kitts & Nevis 2026 底前提高最低 CBI 捐款額？
50%
YES / NO forecaster split
forecasters · YES 0 / NO 0
YES 50%NO 50%
Deadline: 2026-12-31 UTCResolution: high● Open for forecasts
Market Brief
Why it matters: St. Kitts is a benchmark Caribbean CBI price-setter; a higher SISC floor would signal renewed regional price discipline.
Current baseline: USD $250,000（單一主申請人或最多四人家庭最低 SISC 貢獻額；以建立日官方 CIU 頁面為準）
What moves probability:
- YES 壓力：By 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC, an official St. Kitts & Nevis CIU fee schedule, circular, gazette, law, or competent authority notice shows the minimum non-refundable CBI contribution for a single main applicant above the baseline.
- NO 壓力：The deadline passes without official confirmation of a higher minimum non-refundable contribution for a single main applicant.
Resolution source: St. Kitts CIU — SISC: https://ciu.gov.kn/sustainable-island-state-contribution/
Resolution Criteria
YES if
- By 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC, an official St. Kitts & Nevis CIU fee schedule, circular, gazette, law, or competent authority notice shows the minimum non-refundable CBI contribution for a single main applicant above the baseline.
NO if
- The deadline passes without official confirmation of a higher minimum non-refundable contribution for a single main applicant.
- Official sources maintain the baseline contribution level through the deadline.
Does not count
- Due diligence, processing, interview, certificate, agent, family-tier, real-estate-threshold, tax, or FX changes without a higher single-applicant contribution.
- Media reports, agent blogs, rumors, or drafts not confirmed by an official source.
St. Kitts CIU — SISC: https://ciu.gov.kn/sustainable-island-state-contribution/
St. Kitts CIU — CBI Options: https://ciu.gov.kn/cbi-options/
Ambiguity rule: If official sources conflict, the CIU fee schedule / official contribution page controls. If no official source can resolve the market by the deadline, admin may cancel and refund non-redeemable simulation pts.
Bond Note
Why it matters: St. Kitts is a benchmark Caribbean CBI price-setter; a higher SISC floor would signal renewed regional price discipline.
Key date: 2026-12-31 · market deadline
Baseline: USD $250,000（單一主申請人或最多四人家庭最低 SISC 貢獻額；以建立日官方 CIU 頁面為準）
BPROL view: Treat this as a Caribbean CBI pricing-pressure signal, not a broad passport-mobility signal.
Background
St. Kitts & Nevis CBI 最低不可退還捐款額是加勒比 CBI 成本與政策收緊的重要指標。本市場只追蹤單一主申請人的最低不可退還貢獻額，不含費用或家屬級距。